I would like to explore a different perspective on the war between Russia and Ukraine, this time focusing on the historical background of Russia.
The historical intersection between Russia and Ukraine dates back a long time. For instance, Russia's original capital was in the ancient city of Kyiv, and due to the Mongol invasion in 1240, Russia shifted its capital northeast. This led to the formation of present-day Moscow, while Kyiv remained in Ukraine.
Given this historical background, Russians consider Kyiv as their former capital, viewing Ukraine as a sibling. The shared origin in Kyiv fosters a strong historical and cultural connection between the two nations.
During the Soviet era, Ukraine endured Russian dominance, particularly with Stalin's introduction of collective farming policies in 1932, leading to the transfer of peasant property to the state and resulting in famine and significant population decline.
Ukraine faced ideological conflicts between urban and rural areas. Urban regions leaned towards pro-Russia sentiments, while rural areas developed anti-Russia inclinations, causing prolonged political tensions.
In 2010, President Yanukovych's inauguration brought about severe economic incompetence and corruption, leading to Ukraine being ranked as the third most corrupt country in 2012.
Ukraine had the opportunity to receive financial support from the EU and Russia in 2013, with the EU imposing conditions such as pension cuts. However, these conditions sparked discontent in Ukraine and ultimately led to the failure of the agreement.
In 2014, the annexation of Crimea by Russia triggered large-scale protests. The Euromaidan revolution ensued, toppling the pro-Russian government and forcing President Yanukovych into exile.
Crimea played a crucial role as a recreational area for Russian emperors and Communist Party officials. It was transferred to Ukraine from the Soviet Union in 1954.
Similar to Crimea, the Donbas region predominantly uses the Russian language. In 2015, the Minsk Agreement was signed, but its implementation proved challenging, and Ukraine began reducing Donbas's influence.
In 2019, Ukraine imposed fines for using Russian in public places, and in 2021, measures such as freezing assets and prohibiting financial transactions with pro-Russian tendencies were implemented.
In the current Russia-Ukraine war, Crimea and Donbas remain focal points. Putin proposes maintaining the occupied territories while suggesting NATO membership and a ceasefire.
Putin's invasion of Ukraine has multiple reasons, including subtle considerations during his prolonged autocratic rule. Putin's popularity dipped during pension reforms, but the Ukraine war rallied Russian citizens, boosting his approval ratings.
With lingering dissatisfaction on both sides, the current situation suggests efforts towards maintaining neutral autonomous governance and achieving a ceasefire through the Minsk Agreement. In this complex interplay of historical and political factors, predicting the outcome remains challenging.
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